Elections for 12 Rajya Sabha seats, India or NDA, who has the upper hand? Know how much the math will change?

Rajya Sabha Election 2024 Latest News: By-elections will be held on 3 September for 12 Rajya Sabha seats. The Election Commission on Wednesday announced the schedule for voting on these 12 seats in 9 states. With the announcement of dates, political parties are now busy figuring out a winning formula.

Only time will tell who will win these 12 seats, but this time it is being said that there will be a tough fight on about 10 of these 12 seats. However, Congress seems to have an upper hand on some seats and BJP on others. Let us know how the mathematics of Rajya Sabha will change after this election.

First know where these seats are vacant

2 Rajya Sabha seats are vacant in Maharashtra, 2 seats in Bihar, 2 seats in Assam, 1 in Tripura, 1 in Haryana, 1 in Rajasthan and 1 in Madhya Pradesh, 1 in Odisha and 1 in Telangana.

Why did these seats become vacant?

Out of these 12 vacant seats, 10 are such that fell vacant after the members of the Upper House won the Lok Sabha elections, while one Rajya Sabha member each from Telangana and Odisha resigned from their party and joined another party, hence resigned from the Rajya Sabha as well.

What was the situation of these 12 seats earlier?

If we talk about the previous situation on these 12 seats, BJP was leading. It had seven Rajya Sabha MPs. BJP had control over both the seats in Maharashtra. BJP had control over one seat in Bihar and RJD had control over one seat. BJP had won both the seats in Assam. BJP had won one seat in Madhya Pradesh, BJP had won one seat in Tripura, Congress had won one seat in Haryana and Congress had also won one seat in Rajasthan. Apart from this, in Telangana, recently K. Keshav Rao had left Bharat Rashtra Samiti (BRS) and joined Congress, so he resigned, while in Odisha, Biju Janata Dal (BJD) MP Mamta Mohanta had left the Rajya Sabha seat after joining BJP.

BJP is strong in Madhya Pradesh and Tripura

Political experts say that whether it is Lok Sabha elections or assembly elections, the way BJP has performed in Madhya Pradesh till now, it is clear that here too BJP will register a one-sided victory and win one seat again. Apart from this, BJP seems to be in a strong position in Tripura too.

There is talk of a one-sided contest in Assam too

Political experts say that BJP seems to be in a very strong position in Assam right now. Apart from this, it had captured both the seats last time too. In such a situation, experts are saying that this time too BJP can win both the seats in Assam.

BJP ahead in Rajasthan

Rajya Sabha by-elections are to be held on one seat in Rajasthan. BJP is said to be strong on this seat. Experts say that first assembly elections and then Lok Sabha Elections The way the party has performed in Rajasthan in 2024, BJP can once again register a win here.

Tough competition in Maharashtra and Bihar

Talking about Maharashtra and Bihar, a tough fight is expected here. Last time in Bihar, RJD won one seat and BJP won one. This time too, there can be a tough fight. The reason is that the opposition parties also have enough seats.

BJP leads in Odisha and Congress leads in Telangana

Political experts say that this time BJP has uprooted BJD from power in Odisha in the assembly elections. This time it has more numbers, so BJP has an upper hand in Odisha. Talking about Telangana, Congress had formed the government here under the leadership of Revanth Reddy. The party has a good number of MLAs. Experts say that Congress can win in Telangana.

That’s why the toughest fight is in Haryana

Of all the states, Haryana is considered to be the toughest contest. In fact, there are now 87 members in the 90-member Haryana Assembly. If we look at it party-wise, BJP has 41 MLAs. Apart from these, two MLAs – Independent Nayan Pal Rawat and Gopal Kanda of Haryana Lokhit Party (HLP) also support BJP. BJP has the support of a total of 44 MLAs.

If we look at the opposition, they have 43 MLAs. Among them, Congress has 28 MLAs, Jannayak Janata Party (JJP) has 10 and three independents (Randhir Golan, Dharam Pal Gondar and Somveer Sangwan), fourth independent Balraj Kundu and Abhay Chautala of Indian National Lok Dal (INLD). Three independents Randhir Golan, Dharam Pal Gondar and Somveer Sangwan had earlier supported the government but recently they supported Congress.

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