Maharashtra NCP Crisis: As the Lok Sabha elections 2024 are coming closer, the game of alliances, sabotage and coups in politics is getting faster. On one hand, under the leadership of PM Modi, BJP is gearing up to form the government for the third time in a row and is ready to play every bet. On the other hand, there is a camp of opposition parties, which is trying to stop PM Modi in 2024 at any cost. The rebellion in Maharashtra under the leadership of Ajit Pawar in the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) also needs to be looked at from this perspective and it is also important to know how beneficial it will be for the BJP to take Ajit Pawar to task.
When Ajit Pawar rebelled and joined the Shinde government along with Sharad Pawar’s trusted lieutenants like Praful Patel and Chhagan Bhujbal, it was said that he did so in fear of the ED. But it is not only Ajit Pawar who needs BJP, the political atmosphere that has developed in the last few years shows that BJP also needs Ajit Pawar for 2024.
BJP weakened in many states
At this time BJP has become weak in Bihar, Karnataka and Maharashtra. These are the same states where the BJP won unilaterally in the 2019 elections. In 2019, BJP, LJP and JDU had captured 39 out of 40 seats in Bihar but now JDU has changed sides and BJP is out of power there. The BJP won 25 out of 28 seats in Karnataka, while one seat went to its supported candidate, but in the recently held assembly elections in Karnataka, the BJP had to face a crushing defeat at the hands of the Congress.
Maharashtra will have its first test in 2024
In Maharashtra, BJP and Shiv Sena had captured 41 out of 48 Lok Sabha seats in the state in 2029. The Congress, which ruled the state for a long time, got only 1 seat, while Sharad Pawar-led NCP managed to win 4 seats. One seat went to the account of Owaisi’s AIMIM.
The figures given above show that the road is not easy for the BJP in these states. In particular, Shiv Sena is divided into two factions and one faction is with BJP, but with whom the public is, its first test Lok Sabha Elections I have to be there. The Hindi belt, especially in UP, is in its most successful phase. It will be difficult for him to grow much in the Northeast, West Bengal and Odisha. South India is still making curdled kheer.
Survey increased BJP’s tension
In such a situation, it is most important for the BJP to strengthen its old strongholds. In terms of seats, Maharashtra is at number one in this. In January this year, India Today’s Mood of the Nation survey revealed that the Maha Vikas Aghadi alliance could win 34 seats in Maharashtra. This means that BJP-Shiv Sena (Shinde faction) is going to get 14 seats. Obviously, BJP cannot sit idly by in front of the opposition in Maharashtra. This is the biggest reason for supporting the Ajit Pawar camp. Along with Ajit Pawar, there are veterans like Praful Patel, Chhagan Bhujbal, Dilip Walse Patil, who are called the backbone of NCP. In such a situation, before 2024 it can be considered a big success for BJP. However, with whom the public is, its test will be in the elections itself.
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